Bloomberg Surveillance

- Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth - Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University - Jim Caron, CIO: Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management - Molly Brooks, US Rates Strategist at TD Securities Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth, offers her outlook for equities in 2025 as trade tensions heighten while good jobs data reinforces a rally. Jim Caron, CIO: Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, discusses continued warning signs about the US economy coming from the bond market and talks about how momentum factors into investment strategies. Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, talks about the latest trade tensions with China and other priorities of the Trump administration. Molly Brooks, US Rates Strategist at TD Securities, talks about whether the US could see multiple rate cuts by the end of 2025. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 4th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Robert Kaplan, Vice Chairman of Goldman Sachs, joins to discuss the Fed, interest rates, and resiliency of the US economy. US stock futures hold onto two days of gains as investors await labor market data, which has so far held up better than expected amid the Trump administration's trade war. 2) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at the Yale Budget Lab, discusses his recent findings on the impact of tariffs on US companies and the US economy. Investors will follow services data and ADP's report on private-sector employment for updated information on the strength of the US economy, ahead of Friday's nonfarm payrolls report, as the market continues to climb on healthy eco data and in spite of tariffs. 3) Sassan Ghahramani, President and CEO at SGH Macro Advisors, joins to discuss President Trump's social media post upending US-China trade sentiment. President Trump called Xi Jinping "VERY TOUGH, AND EXTREMELY HARD TO MAKE A DEAL WITH" in a late-night social media post, raising questions about the fragile economic truce between the US and China. Tensions between the two countries are increasing, with the US recently barring the shipping of critical jet engine parts to China and seeking to slap fresh curbs on Huawei= chips, among other measures. 4) Sheila Kahyaoglu, Managing Director: Equity Research at Jeffries, talks about the air traffic controller concern for airlines and offers her analyst recommendations for US airlines. 5) Eric Rosen, author at The Rosen Report and former head of credit trading at UBS, talks about the dollar's position on the globe and how deficits and debt could weigh on it. While some economists fear a notable weakening in US employment in coming months under the weight of tariffs, that hasn’t shown up in the data yet. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

-Leland Miller, co-founder and CEO of China Beige Book -Matt Wood, Global and US Commercial Technology & Innovation Officer, PwC -Rep. Andy Barr (R-KY) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Tom Porcelli and Tony Capuano Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & David GuraJune 3nd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, on how geopolitics are never 'going back to normal' 2) Chris Harvey, Chief US Equity Strategist at Wells Fargo, on markets. Stock futures are lower after the weekend brought more tariff drama, with China and the US accusing each other of violating a trade deal concluded just a few weeks ago. There’s also bearish comments on the dollar: Morgan Stanley expects the currency to slump 9% by mid-2026. 3) Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income on how the Fed is on the sidelines, for now. But as economic activity slows this year, we expect the Fed will ease in H2. 4) Evan Osnos, author and New Yorker staff writer, on his new book "The Haves and Have-Yachts" See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jordan Rochester & Sharon Miller. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Brandon Farris, Vice President: Energy & Resources Policy at the Steel Manufacturers Association - Kate Kalutkiewicz, Senior Managing Director: Trade Practice & McLarty Inbound at McLarty Associates - Aditya Bhave, Senior US Economist at Bank of America - Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments Brandon Farris, Vice President: Energy & Resources Policy at the Steel Manufacturers Association, joins to discuss President Trump saying he will double steel tariffs and how that could affect consumers and businesses. Kate Kalutkiewicz, Senior Managing Director: Trade Practice & McLarty Inbound at McLarty Associates, discusses the latest on the US-led trade war and whether talks with China are stalling. Aditya Bhave, Senior US Economist at Bank of America, offers his outlook for the US economy and potential for a recession in 2025. Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, discusses her outlook for equities in 2025 and whether there could be more choppiness in the summer months. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 2nd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Stephen Stanley, Chief Economist at Santander, joins for an extended conversation on the outlook for the US economy, lower consumer spending, and potential for a shallow recession in the US. Global stocks started the new month under pressure due to a flare-up in global trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty. Gold is heading for its biggest gain in almost four weeks as geopolitical and trade tensions revived demand for haven assets. 2) Kathy Jones, Chief Investment Strategist, Fixed Income at Charles Schwab, discusses bond market warnings and why the Fed won't be coming to the rescue any time soon. The dollar fell 0.5%, extending a streak of five monthly losses, while Treasury yields rose across the curve, with the 10-year rate up four basis points to 4.44% in the early part of the morning as risk appetite dissipates. 3) Maya MacGuineas, President of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, talks about the House bill "debt fiasco" and why markets haven't fully awaken to the debt and deficit problem in the US. It comes as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the US "is never going to default" as the deadline for increasing the federal debt ceiling approaches. Bessent declines to specify an "X date" for when the Treasury will run out of cash, but says the goal is to bring the deficit down over the next four years. 4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, talks about President Trump threatening an increase to steel and aluminum tariffs, how the tax bill could be transformed in the Senate, and other DC headlines. Uncertainty prompted by President Donald Trump’s trade agenda picked up after China and the US accused each other of violating a trade deal concluded last month. Trump also said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Meanwhile, Ukraine staged a dramatic series of strikes across Russia, deploying drones hidden in trucks deep inside the country to hit strategic airfields. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT story on Gen Z's interest in chain restaurants and a Business Insider story on AI already taking human jobs. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Seema Shah & Greg Boutle. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel - Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research - Dana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board - Andrew Nocella, Chief Commercial Officer at United Airlines Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel, reacts to PCE and discusses her outlook for markets and the US economy. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, discusses the potential for more rate cuts than are currently being priced into the market. Dana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board, talks about recent findings on the outlook of CEOs for business in the US and overall sentiment about the economy. Andrew Nocella, Chief Commercial Officer at United Airlines, talks about his outlook for the company and industry this year. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 30th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Greg Boutle, Head of US Equity & Derivative Strategy at BNP Paribas, Aoifinn Devitt, Chief Global Strategist at Moneta, and Ira Jersey, Chief US Interest Rates Strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence. react to PCE. April’s so-called core personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy items, rose 0.1% from March. From a year ago, it advanced 2.5%, Bureau of Economic Analysis data out Friday showed. Both readings were in line with economists’ forecast. 2) Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, joins to talk about any potential upheaval that could come as continued on-again, off-again tariffs. The Trump administration is exploring alternative options to pursue tariffs, including using other legal authorities, but these options may be more complicated and time-consuming, and could take months to execute. As a result, traders are reassessing their appetite for riskier assets amid concerns over weaker growth and fiscal strain. 3) Pat Haskell, Head: Muni Bond Group at BlackRock, on muni performance through 2025 and how munis function as a safe haven amid tariff uncertainty. Investors are also parsing data for clues on how the policies are affecting the economy amid concerns over weaker growth and fiscal strain. 4) Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel, brings us into the market open and talks about the outlook for inflation in the US after today's PCE report. Meanwhile in Washington, President Trump pushed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates at their first in-person meeting since the president's inauguration. Powell stressed that the path of policy will depend on incoming economic information. 5) Phillip Diehl, President of US Money Reserve and 35th Director of the US Mint, talks about recent fluctuations in gold prices and gold buying trends among consumers. Gold fell, putting it on track for an almost 2% weekly loss, amid a technical pullback in prices ahead of key US economic data. Despite the declines, bullion's haven appeal remains intact due to uncertainties surrounding Trump's tariff agenda and tensions with China. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Wendy Schiller & Anastasia Amoroso Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Peter Navarro, White House Director of the Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy - Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management - Angelo Zino, Senior Research Analyst at CFRA Research - Libby Cantrill, Head: Public Policy at PIMCO Peter Navarro, White House Director of the Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, joins for an extended discussion on trade and tariffs after a US court blocked many of President Trump's tariffs on imports from dozens of countries. Libby Cantrill with PIMCO discusses options for President Trump after his tariffs were blocked by a US court. Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses signals and warnings from the bond market on tariffs, debt, and deficits. Angelo Zino, Senior Research Analyst at CFRA Research, reacts to Nvidia earnings. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 29th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at iCapital, joins to talk about a resilient US economy and momentum in markets in spite of Washington uncertainty. After a US court blocked the bulk of President Donald Trump's import tariffs, it led to widespread gains in risk assets and lifted investor sentiment. 2) Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, reacts to Nvidia earnings and discusses the outlook for the company and Big Tech. Nvidia is ramping up production of its latest semiconductor design, Blackwell, and is offering its chips as part of whole computer systems to speed up AI deployment. 3) Andrew Gilbert, Partner at ECP, joins to discuss demand for AI data centers and the immense growth opportunity following another Nvidia earnings. Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang is concerned about US trade restrictions on China hindering the company's long-term growth, and is appealing to the Trump administration to allow chip production for China again. 4) Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, discusses the latest DC headlines and how a US court blocking President Trump's tariff policy could affect his presidency and potentially his legacy. A US court has blocked many of President Trump's tariffs on imports from dozens of countries, declaring them illegal and throwing his tariff strategy into turmoil. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on Paramount's relationship with the White House and Bloomberg's story on how AI is impacting hiring at Salesforce. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nvidia, the world’s most valuable chipmaker, gave an upbeat revenue forecast for the current period, even as a slowdown in China weighed on results. Sales will be about $45 billion in the second fiscal quarter, which runs through July, the company said on Wednesday. That included the loss of roughly $8 billion in revenue from China because of export controls. The forecast was in line with analysts’ estimates, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Nvidia shares rose about 4% in extended trading following the announcement. The outlook shows that Nvidia is ramping up production of Blackwell, its latest semiconductor design. The chipmaker — now the world’s largest by revenue — dominates the market for AI accelerators, the components that help develop and run artificial intelligence models. And an ever-broader lineup of hardware and software is letting Nvidia sell more products to customers. For instant reaction and analysis, hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jordan Rochester & Nancy Lazar Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 28th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Amanda Lynam, Head of Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, discusses perceived mixed signals related to the financial strength of the U.S. consumer 2) Jordan Rochester, Head of FICC Strategy at Mizuho EMEA, details why the Fed will be witnessing higher government spending over the next two years. 3) Jennifer Johnston, Director: Muni Bond Research at Franklin Templeton on why the muni market experienced volatility in April in response to uncertainty over tariffs and other Federal policies. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on the stay-at-home son trend that Jeopardy started. Plus, is $20 an hour a good starting point for companies. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Steve Chiavarone & Nicholas Burns. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Roosevelt Bowman, Senior Investment Strategist at Bernstein Private Wealth Management - Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock - Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy - Lynn Martin, President of NYSE Amanda Lynam, Head: Macro Credit Research at BlackRock, joins to discuss opportunities in corporate credit as bond market yields remain stubbornly high. Roosevelt Bowman, Senior Investment Strategist at Bernstein Private Wealth Management, talks about opportunities in equities as President Trump pivots on EU tariffs and as the bond market signals more warnings about the US debt and deficit. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, joins to talk about President Trump's economic policies and support heading into the summer. Lynn Martin, NYSE president, on IPO activity in 2025. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.