The Real Estate Espresso Podcast

On today’s show we are talking about new dangers in apartment buildings that have not been fully handled in the design of buildings or the building code. Certain metals produce their own fuel once ignited. You probably have done the science experiment of lighting a piece of magnesium wire on fire. Once lit, you can put this piece of burning wire into a tub of water and it will keep burning. The conventional wisdom in fire fighting is that if you have a fire, then the fastest way to put it out is to remove its source of oxygen. But what happens when the fire produces its own oxygen and the chemical reaction continues no matter what you do? Have you ever wondered why fireworks don’t go out even if it’s raining? Once a firework is lit, it will continue to burn until all of the fuel is expended. Now imagine if the fire is in the underground garage in your apartment building, or perhaps in the bicycle storage room next to the lobby of your building. Those electric bicycles are now a new type of fire hazard that didn’t exist a few years ago. The electric vehicles are a new type of fire hazard that didn’t exist a few years ago. When I look at the risks in a building, I believe that the bicycle room represents an equal if not a greater fire risk than the garage. In many cases, charging is being retrofitted into buildings that were never designed to have electric vehicles. This is something that you as a building owner need to become educated about and take real steps to mitigate that risk. -------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

On today’s show we are doing another in our monthly beginner series. The real estate espresso podcast is unlike other podcasts in that most others are focused on a more entry level audience. Our listeners are sophisticated. Many of you own large portfolios of apartments. But you also have people in your life who are interested in learning more, but maybe don’t have access to high quality information. The idea of sending your spouse to a $199 weekend bootcamp for beginners where they are going to be abused by sleazy sales people sounds unthinkable. So where do they go. Look no further. We are going to dedicate a couple of shows a month to topics that will accelerate the learning for less experienced investors, and might give the most sophisticated investors a new way of explaining a concept that is otherwise complex to describe. On today’s show we are talking about market cycles. Market cycles are the result of the delay between perception and reality. The best analogy I can use is what happens when you drive a car. If the delay between turning the steering wheel and the car actually turning was not instant, you would have a tendency to oversteer. You would be continually wavering in your lane because of the delay between cause and effect. The same situation exists in every market, including real estate. We see it in retail where retailers rush to build inventory in order to get ahead of possible tariffs. But then they are sitting on tons of excess inventory and the manufacturers witness a cycle of feast and famine. Huge orders and then the orders dry up. This pattern repeats itself in many places in the economy. ---------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

On today’s show we are looking at the anxiety of missing a deal. Real estate investors are deal junkies. Let’s call it like it is. We’re going to look at a real life example. We’re going to talk about creating value with land. There are two main methods for creating land value. One is to start with raw land and carve it up and get it zoned and serviced for development. The other is to take land that has already been carved up into tiny parcels and put it back together so you can do something more substantial with it. Sellers are often of a mindset that they are the ones holding the cards. Their property is worth a gazillion dollars, especially if it has development potential. Some rich developer will come along and offer me so much more than the property is worth in its current condition to an owner occupant. In a dense urban environment land is both scarce and abundant. It’s abundant in the sense that there are hundreds of properties for sale at any given time. Most of the land is not suitable for redevelopment in its current form. A case in point is a small land assembly that has already been designed for a 66 unit mid rise building. 66 units is a bit small from a property management standpoint. Ideally a building should have more than 100 units in order to optimize the economics of staffing the project. The proposed building is already compliant with the zoning requirements and can be built by right. There are constraints on the size of a building on this street because of utility capacity on the street. A larger building would require an upgrade to the water main which would add considerable cost and delays to the project. The main constraint is water volume for fire suppression. A larger building would require a larger water main pipe and possibly a booster pump if the pressure at the top of the building is not sufficient. So we know we are not going to get more density on that block regardless of the zoning. The original land assembly consisted of two properties and along the way different scenarios of three and four properties were considered and negotiated. In the end, while a larger project would have been possible, we opted for a smaller mid-sized project at only 66 units. This past week, two more properties came up for sale on the same street. Among those was a property that had previously been considered. It was being offered at 30% below the original asking price. This is where sellers often get confused. You see there are realtors out there who will pick the most expensive comparable sale in the area and recommend that as the asking price for the sale. It’s as if there is a broad market for development land and the offers will start pouring in the second the land hits the market. But when you are offering a property that will ultimately form part of a land assembly the market for buyers shrinks dramatically. You have two neighbours, one on the left and one on the right. There are only two possible buyers for your property as a development site. ---------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

On today’s show we are talking about a new provision of the latest tax bill that passed the US Congress and is now before the Senate. During the election campaign, President Trump said clearly that he did not favor a central bank digital currency. In fact he has made several statements in support of crypto currencies and his family is active in various crypto initiatives. But it seems that the President may have accidentally created the underlying systems that in fact amount to a CBDC. Whether this is an accident or deliberate is hard to tell. But the effect on the long term freedom and privacy of the citizens of the US is the same. The Federal Reserve Act explicitly prohibits ordinary citizens from having an account at the Fed. In order for a CBDC to be enacted in the US, it would require that aspect of the legislation to be modified. On today’s show I’m going to unveil the plumbing that is being created in the system that effectively amounts to a CBDC with direct government oversight. ------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

Alex Freytag's "Stretch Not Snap" is a business fable that addresses a common challenge faced by entrepreneurial companies: how to transform the employee mindset into one of ownership, engagement, and shared vision, particularly through the strategic implementation of incentive plans. The book builds upon the foundation laid in another business fable book by Gino Wickman and Mike Paton's "Get A Grip”. Freytag revisits the characters of Vic and Eileen, the leaders of Swan Services, as they navigate the next phase of their entrepreneurial journey. The story opens with Vic and Eileen facing a growing frustration. While their company, Swan Services, has successfully implemented the Entrepreneurial Operating System (EOS) – gaining traction, clarity on priorities, and leadership team alignment – they observe a fundamental disconnect among their employees. Despite the company's progress and the leaders' dedication, a prevailing "me-first" or "entitlement" mentality has taken root. Employees seem to expect bonuses and rewards merely for showing up, rather than genuinely connecting their daily efforts to the company's overarching vision and financial health. This disengagement is stifling Swan Services' potential and preventing the full realization of its culture. The core of "Stretch Not Snap" is the unfolding of the ProfitWorks Solution, a methodology designed to create a self-funded incentive plan that genuinely drives employee engagement and financial results. The fable illustrates this solution through the practical challenges and successes faced by Vic, Eileen, and their team. The essence of the ProfitWorks Solution revolves around six key principles: 1. Financial Literacy and Transparency 2. Identifying Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) and Leading Measures 3. The Self-Funded Incentive Plan 4. Ending the Entitlement Mentality 5. Sharing the Vision and Building Ownership 6. Continuous Learning and Adaptation ------------ **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

George Ross taught negotiation at the law school at NYU for over 20 years. He honed those skills over a career working with Goldman and DiLorenzo, his own law firm, and as Executive Vice President in The Trump Organization. Today we are talking about preparation for negotiation, a topic that he emphasizes in his book. ------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

At Y Street Capital, we have several projects across several states. We currently have two storage projects in construction and we have more in the pipeline. If you would like to learn more about our storage fund, click HERE find out more about our storage projects. If you don't have an account on our investor portal, you can register and we promise not to spam you with tons of email. These opportunities are only open to accredited investors residing in the United States and are in compliance with SEC regulations. --------------- On today’s show we are talking about staffing projects with the best people possible. Yesterday I had an experience that quite frankly was humbling. I’ll come back to that later. In the world of traditional HR, the emphasis is overwhelmingly on skills and experience. But when you hire for a key role you are always looking for a combination of both skills and attributes. Skills are those things that can be learned over a relatively short time period. Attributes are developed over a much longer period and reflect the makeup of the individual. We look for a set of attributes across several dimensions including their sphere of influence, their planning horizon, their ability to handle complex multi dimensional problems, their financial acumen, their character. The humbling part is at the end. Enjoy.... --------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

On today’s show we are talking about the tradeoff between security and convenience. Your phone is a device that has so much knowledge about you embedded within it. How long before the very devices that we rely upon to act as our communication device, our camera, our entertainment screen, our wallet, and the key to unlock the entry door to our home becomes too much of a liability? The epidemic of identity theft has been problematic for some time. It used to be the case that identity theft could allow someone to get a credit card in your name. So the question is what do you as a real estate investor need to know to protect your properties? How do you prevent someone from entering a building who is not authorized to do so? Smart building systems are extremely convenient. But are they secure? How do you perform the evaluation to know whether you are buying the right system? These are more questions than answers. Even if you have an answer today, who knows whether the answer will still be correct in a year or a month or a week from now. The capability of AI systems is growing at an exponential rate. ----------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

Computer algorithms are great at processing vast amounts of data and then making either recommendations or decisions based on that data. AI is even better at that process. Yet somehow consumer groups feel like landlords have a disadvantage when it comes to data and therefore should not have the right to use that market data when it comes to setting rates for a rental property. The latest legislation to pass through the US Congress has a Federal statute that aims to block the states and local governments from oversight of AI and automated decision systems for 10 years. This won’t block claims of anti-competitive behaviour. If successfully passed, this would give companies like Yardi, RealPage, and numerous others a clearer path to use their algorithms for the benefit of making pricing decisions based on supply and demand. If the data is being used for landlords to collude, then that would constitute a cartel which violates anti-trust laws. But the use of data for dynamic pricing, both up and down does not constitute collusion. The new legislation keeps the playing field favouring the development of technology to improve market efficiency. The states should not be blocking the use of technology. ----------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

This is not a political podcast. It’s a real estate podcast. Now NYC is an important market for real estate. I personally don’t invest in NYC for reasons that many will understand. Part of the affordability problem is that NYC’s population is made up of 25% low income families. As housing demand has increased, so too have rents. Affordable rents get pushed further and further away which increases commute times. The race for Mayor in NYC is a hotly contested one with an incredible array of candidates. When I say incredible, it’s because each of these candidates can bring sweeping impacts to this city of 8.5M people. If people flock to NY, or if they leave NY, it affects other markets in a material way. There are seven candidates on the democratic ticket for Mayor. The incumbent Mayor Adams who is under criminal investigation is running as an independent. There is one republican candidate. The Democratic primary is going to be held on June 24 which could reshape the election. On today’s show we are going to look at the top 3 candidates according to the polling results and dissect their real estate platforms. ---------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

The latest tax legislation winding its way through the Congress and the Senate is sunsetting a number of tax credits. These can have a material impact on your projects. So understanding them is important. ---------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

Dr. Tom Burns is based in Austin Texas where he invests and develops real estate. On today's show Tom and I are having a fireside chat about perspective on the current market conditions. Tom is one of my favorite people in the world. He maintains perspective and wisdom even during turbulent moments. To connect with Tom and to learn more visit richdoctor.com or email him directly at tom@richdoctor.com -------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

Jack Martin is based in Scottsdale Arizona and invests in mobile home parks in business friendly states. On today's show we are talking about the investment mandate that is their focus. To connect with Jack and to learn more, visit 52ten.com ----------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

On today’s show we are talking about our project in Colorado Springs. If you’ve been listening to the show for a while then you will know that we are the developer of a master planned community on the edge of Colorado Springs. This 1800 acre project was successfully annexed into the city of Colorado Springs at the end of January this year. The latest move has been the launch of a petition, which having a sufficient number of signatures would put the annexation of our property to a public special election. This is precisely what was done. The ballots in the special election were mailed out to Colorado Springs voters today. There is a single large development inside the boundary of the city which comprises approximately 18,000 acres. This property was annexed into the city in the 1990’s. Over 85% of the city’s development land is owned by one party. They have been taking steps over the years that would stifle competition for new homes and make their development the only game in town. The citizens of Colorado Springs need to know that this election is not about a small patch of land that is immediately adjacent to land that is owned by the city. It is about developer corruption and a monopoly for a single developer. We could not have predicted this the trajectory of this development project. We did not expect to uncover the dirty underbelly of politics and influence peddling. -------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

On today’s show we are talking about the risk premium being attached to US sovereign debt and how this has the potential to destabilize real estate markets for all US investors. We are accustomed to thinking that the Fed sets the interest rate. But the truth is that the Fed only sets one interest rate. That is the Fed Funds rate that banks use to lend to each other. The downgrade of the US debt by Moody’s debt rating agency last Friday was a reflection of the government’s persistent failure to adopt measures that would “reverse the trend of large annual fiscal deficits and growing interest costs.” Moody’s was the third bond rating agency to downgrade the US sovereign debt after S&P and Fitch downgraded the US debt in August of 2023. It’s not the downgrade per se that is the problem. The market makes its own determination and does not just look at what the bond rating agencies have to say. Spending is heading higher, regardless of who is in the White House. The demographic impact on entitlement programs is unavoidable. The population is aging and when the social security program was launched, there were 16.5 people in the workforce for every one person collecting benefits. Today there are 2.71 people in the workforce for every one person collecting benefits. By the mid 2030’s, that number is expected to fall to 2.3 people working for every one person collecting. The math doesn’t fund the liabilities. The current White House was elected on the promise of the economy and of fiscal responsibility. The latest budget bill that had wound its way through the Congress shows an increase in spending and a widening budget deficit. Despite desires to cut government waste and abuse, the impact seems somewhat muted. The bond market is clearly seeing significant risk to the ballooning US sovereign debt. This week’s auction in new US Treasuries did not go well. The appetite for new paper from the US government was muted and the price that was bid for the 30 year was so low that the yield on the 30 year is now above 5%. The 30 year Treasury is a long denomination bond and its yield moves very slowly. To have the price for that bond drop so sharply in a matter of days has definitely rattled markets. ------------ **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

On today’s show we are talking about the elephant in the downtown. This is the property that was once a symbol of success that has now become a central embarrassment to the city. It seems that almost every city has one, and in some cases more than one. In Houston it’s the One City Center Building with 600,000 SF that is 80% vacant. In Portland Oregon it’s the 45 story office tower affectionately called The Big Pink that is now 50% vacant and partly over-run with homeless people sleeping on vacant floors. That building just sold for $0.20 on the dollar. In Chicago it’s the old post office. This colossal art deco building, one of the largest in Chicago, sat vacant and decaying for nearly two decades after the U.S. Postal Service moved out in the mid-1990s. In Los Angeles there is Oceanwide Plaza In Memphis it’s the Sterick Building. There are quite a few across the nation. ------------ **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

On today’s show we are taking a deeper look at AI. I realize that this is a real estate podcast. But real estate is a business like any other business. AI has changed the world. It has democratized information in ways that we have not even begun to process. I am increasingly finding myself asking more and more questions of AI that historically I would have asked myself. Some people think that AI is over-hyped. I actually think it is under hyped. Most businesses have not even begun to think about how their organization will change as a result. They have not planned how roles and responsibilities get defined with the assumption that AI is going to assume much of the work that would have been delegated in the organization. ----------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

Today's show is truly fascinating and an example of business ingenuity. Johnathan Brooks is based in Scottsdale, Arizona where he is the CEO of Warehouse on Wheels. His company operates nationally along all 8 of the major transportation corridors providing 53 foot trailer rentals as a solution to warehousing and manufacturing temporary storage needs. The solution is 4x more cost effective than a physical warehouse. To connect and to learn more, visit wowtrailers.com -------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

Brandt Stiles is based in St. Louis where he is co-CEO at Subtext Living. The company develops student housing nationwide. Their portfolio consists of over 10,000 beds and they are one of the top 3 developers of student housing across the US. The world of education has changed, especially during the pandemic and that represents both risk and opportunity for universities and for student housing. On today's show we are talking about navigating those shifting market forces. To connect with Brandt and to learn more, visit https://subtextliving.com/ ------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)

Today’s show is an unusual show in that we are quoting national statistics. As you know, I don’t love national numbers because they reflect averages and the average often doesn’t apply in specific areas. When we look at demand for homes, and for rentals, there are historic norms that are based on demographics and employment that most market analysts use to predict demand for housing. This feeds into well understood models for household formation, the age at which people start having children, and the time when they purchase their first home. Recent studies are showing that the high cost of housing, combined with higher interest rates rates are reducing the number of new homes being sold to first time buyers across the US. The Mortgage Bankers Association published a new report earlier this week that outlines some startling statistics for single family home sales. We’re going to look at these numbers and then infer what the implications might be for property investors, specifically in the apartment space and in the built to rent segment. Historically, first time home buyers have accounted for an average of 36% of home purchase transactions over the past 20 years. For 2024, this proportion fell to an all time low of 24% of purchases. First homes are being purchased nearly a decade later than historic norms. All of the major national home builders are reporting a slowdown in home sales and an acute slowdown in first time home buyers. Pulte homes, the nation’s third largest home builder reported an 11% decline in first time home sales. ------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1) iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613) Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com) LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce) YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso) Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com) **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com) Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital) Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)