Bloomberg Surveillance

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Gina Martin Adams & Huw van Steenis. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI - Joachim Nagel, President at Deutsche Bundesbank - Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Management - Dan Ives, Head Global Technology at Wedbush Securities Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, offers his S&P 500 outlook amid further uncertainty about tariffs and corporate earnings. Joachim Nagel, President at Deutsche Bundesbank, joins from the IMF Spring Meetings to talk about the outlook for European and global economies as the US levies global tariffs. Torsten Slok, Chief Economist at Apollo Management, talks about the outlook for a US recession this year. Dan Ives, Head Global Technology at Wedbush Securities, breaks down Tesla earnings. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 23rd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Huw van Steenis, Vice Chair at Oliver Wyman, joins in studio for an extended discussion on Nixonian elements of Trump admin, global corporate and business confidence, and how it's all intersecting with what he sees in the financial and banking sectors. Markets and the economy are facing increased uncertainty, with President Trump most recently saying he has no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, despite his frustration with the central bank not moving more quickly to slash interest rates. Trump wants Powell to lower interest rates, saying it's a "perfect time" to do so, and would like to see the chairman be "early or on time, as opposed to late". 2) Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, breaks down Tesla earnings. CEO Elon Musk says he will devote more time to Tesla starting next month, scaling back his work with the US government, which has been a concern for investors. Tesla's stock jumped 7% despite missing analysts' estimates for revenue and earnings, with the company citing weakness in its core automotive business and tariff headwinds. 3) Chris Grisanti, Chief Equity Strategist at MAI Capital Management, brings us into the market open and what lower corporate earnings will mean for equities. Stocks and bonds rose as global markets reacted positively to the Trump administration's easing of tensions, including President Trump's statement that he has no intention of firing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. 4) Mick Mulroy, co-founder of the Lobo Institute, joins to discuss turmoil at the Defense Department. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has been courting controversy, including sharing sensitive details about an impending US attack on Houthi militants on an unsecured commercial chat platform and purging some of his handpicked staff. Despite calls for Hegseth to be fired, President Donald Trump remains supportive, attributing the controversies to "disgruntled employees" and saying Hegseth is "doing a great job." 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including WSJ's story on fashion in Little League and Bloomberg's report on the hottest amenity at US airports. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tesla backed away from an earlier view for 2025 sales growth and pledged to revisit its outlook next quarter, a sign that tariffs, an aging vehicle lineup and the backlash against Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk are having an impact on the electric-vehicle maker. The company on Tuesday reported adjusted earnings of 27 cents per share for the first quarter, below the average analyst estimate. Tesla omitted an earlier prediction that sales would return to growth for the full year, saying instead that it’s “making prudent investments that will set up” the vehicle business for growth. That will depend on factors including production increases and the “broader macroeconomic environment.” “It is difficult to measure the impacts of shifting global trade policy on the automotive and energy supply chains, our cost structure and demand for durable goods and related services,” Tesla said. The shares were little changed immediately following the release in extended New York trading. For instant reaction and analysis, hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jeff deGraaf & Brian Belski. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Krishna Guha, Vice Chariman at Evercore ISI - Rob Sockin, Director: Research at Citi - Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President - Alex Nowrasteh, VP: Economic & Social Policy Studies at The Cato Institute Krishna Guha, Vice Chariman at Evercore ISI, offers his outlook for markets and the US economy amid a brutal April for markets. Rob Sockin, Director: Research at Citi, discusses the risks to markets both from President Trump's tariff policy and should the president fire Fed Chair Jay Powell. Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President, discusses Fed independence, tariffs, and the outlook for the US economy. Alex Nowrasteh, VP: Economic & Social Policy Studies at The Cato Institute, talks about the future of Fed independence and Chair Jay Powell. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 22nd, 2025 Featuring: 1) Jeff deGraaf, Chairman and Head: Technical Research at Renaissance Macro Research, joins for a discussion on Jay Powell, market risks, and tariffs. US stocks were higher in futures trading this morning as equities are set to bounce back from Monday's losses as investors weigh progress on trade talks with India and Tesla's upcoming earnings. 2) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, brings us into the market open and discusses whether he remains a US equity bull. President Trump's demands on Jerome Powell to cut rates have raised concerns about the president's willingness to meddle with central bank policy and the impact on the economy. 3) Alicia Garcia-Herrero, Chief Economist for Asia Pacific at Natixis, joins for a discussion on the dollar as the globe's reserve currency and how the trade war will harm China and the US. This morning, gold topped $3,500 for the first time, and other markets such as stocks, currencies, and commodities experienced mixed movements amid ongoing trade tensions and uncertainty. 4) Warwick McKibbin, non resident Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, talks about his piece from the fall outlining the costs of Trump's tariff and deportation policies as well as his newest analysis released today on the US revenue implications of Trump's tariff plan. 5) Margaret Franklin, CEO of the CFA Institute, joins from our DC studio to discuss the CFA program, how it's evolving, and the impact of AI on the investing profession. 6) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Financial Times report on the marketing campaign of plant-based eggs and the Washington Post's look into the changing economics of college football and how it's affecting the NFL draft. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Liz Ann Sonders & Damian Sassower. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth - Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy - Leland Miller, CEO at China Beige Book - Barbara Doran, CEO and CIO at BD8 Capital Partners Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, joins for a discussion on her 2025 outlook and whether equities could rebound amid volatility in the first quarter of the year. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, discusses President Trump's tariff policies and turmoil for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and the Defense Department. Leland Miller, CEO at China Beige Book, discusses the outlook for the Chinese economy in an intensifying trade war with the US. Barbara Doran, CEO and CIO at BD8 Capital Partners, discusses the outlook for markets amid comments from President Trump for a desired change at the Fed. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 21st, 2025 Featuring: 1) Julia Coronado, President/Founder of Macropolicy Perspectives, joins to discuss the precarious position the Fed is put in amid incoming tariffs and the possibility of higher inflation, and when or if Jay Powell will cut rates this year. The dollar weakened sharply as traders reacted to the possibility that President Donald Trump will try to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. 2) Meghan Clark, professor at St. John's University, talks about the death of Pope Francis. He encouraged Catholics to embrace a more compassionate view on many issues but found it difficult to close the book on past abuses by clergy. He was 88, and passed away 7:35 a.m. Monday in Rome, the Vatican said in a statement. He had been hospitalized in Rome in mid-February with bronchitis, which progressed to pneumonia in both lungs — the last in a litany of respiratory and other medical challenges he had faced. On Sunday, he had met with US Vice President JD Vance. 3) Gautam Mukunda, Bloomberg Opinion contributor and Yale School of Management professor, joins for a discussion on politics and the forces pushing back or accepting certain norms being challenged by the Trump administration. President Trump is continuing his calls for a change at the head of the Fed, and there's growing pressure on US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid reports of turmoil at the Pentagon. 4) Drew Matus, Chief Market Strategist at Metlife Investment Management, brings us into the market open and discusses the prospect of a recession as the US enters "trade war hell." 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including The Boston Globe looking into the best places to eat along the route of the Boston Marathon and Business Insider's story on men are getting cosmetic treatments and anti-aging procedures. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Netflix reported first-quarter profit that exceeded Wall Street forecasts, boosted by a recent price increase and a strong slate of programming across the globe, like the hit UK series Adolescence. The owner of the world’s most popular online TV network said in a statement Thursday that earnings rose 25% to $6.61 a share, easily beating analysts’ estimates of $5.68. Sales grew 13% to $10.5 billion, in line with projections. This is the first time Netflix has reported financial results without disclosing how many customers it added or lost — the main yardstick investors previously used to gauge the company’s performance. Management is forcing investors to judge its success or failure based on more traditional financial metrics. The company boosted operating income by 27% to $3.3 billion, beating expectations of $3 billion. Its operating margin of 31.7% was more than three percentage points above its own forecast. For instant reaction and analysis, hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with Bloomberg News Entertainment Reporter Lucas Shaw and Mark Douglas, President and CEO of MNTN. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Amanda Lynam & Anastasia Amoroso. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens' College, Cambridge - Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Hogan Lovells US - Jean Boivin, Global Head: Research & Investment Institute at BlackRock - Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist at New York Life Investment Management Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens' College, Cambridge and Bloomberg Opinion columnist and Jean Boivin, Global Head: Research & Investment Institute at BlackRock, discuss the outlook for stocks and US economic growth, as well as concerns signaled from the bond market. Kelly Ann Shaw, Partner at Hogan Lovells US, discusses President Trump's political and economic priorities as tariff negotiations continue. Lauren Goodwin, Chief Market Strategist at New York Life Investment Management, offers her outlook for stocks and the US economy. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 17th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Amanda Lynam, Head of Macro Credit Research at Blackrock, talks about signals from the bond market, corporate credit spreads, and whether the market just experienced a tariff tantrum or whether deeper problems lie underneath. Following bond market turmoil triggered by the announcement of broad US levies earlier this month, investors are focusing more on developments in country-specific trade negotiations. 2) Anastasia Amoroso, Chief Investment Strategist at iCapital, brings us into the market open and discusses her outlook for growth in equities and the US economy. President Donald Trump said there was “big progress” in talks to strike a deal for Japan, which stocks responded to positively in pre-market trading ahead of the holiday weekend. 3) Jay Timmons, CEO and President of National Association of Manufacturers, joins to discuss manufacturing regulations and red tape, strengthening the manufacturing workforce, and whether tariffs and other Trump admin policies could actually revitalize manufacturing labor. Manufacturing output increased 5.1% in the first quarter, the most since late 2021, as customers boosted orders before tariffs hikes took effect. Despite the gain, manufacturing faces headwinds from higher material costs, trade policy uncertainty, and tariffs, which may impact production and investment plans this year and next year. 4) Ali Mortell, Director of Research at Blue Rose Research, joins to discuss Blue Rose's presentation that's made waves through Democratic politics, highlighting support President Trump garnered in 2024, how Democrats could claw back some voters, and what is the identity of the Democratic party. 5) Whitney Tilson, former hedge fund manager and NYC Mayoral candidate, discusses his candidacy and policy proposals, how he plans to gain support over Cuomo and Adams, and what the identity of the Democratic party should be. Billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman donated $250,000 to a super PAC supporting former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo in New York City's mayoral race after Ackman hosted a fundraiser for Tilson's bid earlier this year. 6) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story Costco's Kirkland brand bringing customers to the beer aisle and a New York Times report on possible signs of life on a distant planet. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Dan Ives & Matt King. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth - Rick Rieder, CIO: Global Fixed Income at BlackRock - Eric Cantor, Vice Chairman at Moelis & Co - John Kirby, CEO at United Airlines Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth, discusses her outlook for equities and whether she believes they'll end the year in positive territory amid tariff policy uncertainty. Rick Rieder, CIO: Global Fixed Income at BlackRock, discusses warning signals from the bond market. Eric Cantor, Vice Chairman at Moelis & Co, talks about President Trump's economic policies and how economic and political policies will be shaped in Washington in the coming months. John Kirby, CEO at United Airlines, discusses his company and the state of the industry. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 16th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Wei Li, Global Chief Investment Strategist at BlackRock, joins for an extended discussion on the market backdrop amid the US tariff pause and the near- and long-term risks of a financial accident. Investors get hints of economic sentiment today with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell giving a speech in Chicago and the release of March retail sales today. 2) Dan Ives, Global Head of Technology at Wedbush Securities, on the Nvidia chip restrictions. Technology stocks fell due to new US government restrictions on Nvidia chip exports to China and a disappointing report from ASML Holding NV, wiping out $155 billion in market value. 3) Matt King, founder at Satori Insights, brings us into retail sales and talks about why the US could be on the cusp of a crisis. The fallout of US Nvidia chip curbs are one factor affecting growth: it could weigh on chip-sector earnings and set back China's ambitions to compete on the global tech stage, with economists scaling back their forecasts for GDP growth worldwide. 4) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates, joins for an extended discussion on the US dollar, Treasuries, and US exceptionalism. The demand dynamic for US Treasuries is shifting, with foreign demand declining, and the relationship between the US dollar and Treasury yields is weakening, leading to concerns about the dollar's haven status and the US deficit. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Bloomberg story on the boom in ultra-luxury ships and WalletHub's findings on cities with the most affordable rent. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jurrien Timmer & Constance Hunter. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Glenn Youngkin, Governor of Virginia - Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management - Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy - Ken Leon, Director of Equity Research at CFRA Republican Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin sits down with Surveillance to discuss his policy initiatives for the state, how the Republican party is functioning in a second Trump term, and his response to the president's economic and political priorities. Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, discusses signals from the bond market and whether there is broader concern of a rotation away from US assets. Terry Haines, founder at Pangaea Policy, discusses whether President Trump's tariff policy could change amid its 90-day pause. Ken Leon, Director of Equity Research at CFRA, reacts to today's bank earnings. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyApril 15th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, talks about whether the US is staring down a financial crisis as President Trump negotiates trade deals with other countries. While stocks are getting a boost as President Trump floats a potential pause in auto tariffs, ongoing trade tensions and concerns remain about the impact of tariffs on the economy. 2) Christopher Maher, CEO of OceanFirst Bank, discusses how inflation and tariffs are affecting how he operates his business and how clients are responding to changing conditions. Investor sentiment toward the economy is the most negative in three decades, with fund managers expecting the global economy to weaken and planning to reduce exposure to US equities, which is causing increasing challenges for business operators. 3) Sebastien Page, head of Global Multi-Asset and Chair of the Asset Allocation Steering Committee at T. Rowe Price, talks about his new book and demonstrating leadership in a growing uncertain market. Markets are showing signs of consolidating as Trump’s tariff exemptions haved raised hopes there may be room for negotiations after the president’s reciprocal levies this month wiped $10 trillion off global equities and spurred a rout in Treasuries. At the same time, the US is pressing forward with plans to impose tariffs on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports by initiating trade probes led by the Commerce Department. 4) Scott Stringer, Former NYC Comptroller & NYC Mayoral Candidate, joins as part of our NYC mayoral race coverage to discuss New York City, Mayor Eric Adams' leadership, city finances, congestion pricing, and other issues. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ report on Netflix's market cap target and Business Insider's story on iPhone tricks to avoid increased costs. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.