Bloomberg Surveillance

US President Donald Trump called his meeting with Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin “extremely productive” but indicated that a deal to end the war had still not been finalized, adding that he would speak to NATO allies and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. “There’s no deal until there’s a deal,” Trump said Friday in Anchorage, Alaska as he stood alongside Putin for a joint event. Putin spoke first at the event, casting the conversations as useful and said they were held “in a constructive atmosphere.” He talked of unspecified agreements with Trump, and suggested that Ukraine was only one of multiple issues discussed, pointing to the potential for increased trade and business cooperation as well as work in the Arctic and in space exploration. The event followed the longest ever face-to-face meeting between the two leaders. On this special edition of Bloomberg Balance of Power, we hear instant reaction to and analysis of the summit and the press conference. Host Joe Mathieu speaks with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Peter Tchir & Jennifer Lee. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity & Global Strategist at Deutsche Bank - Eddie Fishman, Professor at Columbia University - Marc Sumerlin, Managing Partner and founder at Evenflow Macro - Veronica Clark, Director: Research at Citi Binky Chadha, Chief US Equity & Global Strategist at Deutsche Bank, joins to discuss his S&P target and outlook for equities amid policy and global uncertainty. Eddie Fishman, Professor at Columbia University, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. Marc Sumerlin, Managing Partner and founder at Evenflow Macro, discusses the latest on the Fed and chair candidates. Veronica Clark, Director: Research at Citi, offers her outlook on markets, the economy, and inflation. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 15th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Kate Moore, CIO at Citi Wealth, brings us into retail sales and discusses the outlook for equities and rate cuts amid concern over an inflation resurgence. S&P 500 futures edged higher 0.1% after a flat session Thursday, following back-to-back record closes earlier in the week, after a surprising PPI report that showed higher services costs in the US as tariffs take effect. 2) Peter Tchir, Head: Macro Strategy at Academy Securities, talks about how markets might play or shrug off the Trump-Putin summit and inflation fears reigniting in the US. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 advanced 0.2% toward the highest level since March amid guarded hopes that Friday’s US-Russia summit could be an initial step toward brokering a peace deal in Ukraine and thawing relations. 3) Heidi Crebo-Rediker, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, talks about the Trump-Putin summit and why she believes there's "no chance" that Russia negotiates a ceasefire on acceptable terms for Europe and Ukraine. President Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin will measure success at their summit in Alaska very differently, with Trump seeking a ceasefire in Ukraine and Putin seeing the meeting as a win without making concessions. 4) Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist at BMO Capital Markets, reacts to retail sales and discusses the paradigm shifts across global economies. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Trump administration is in talks with Intel Corp. to have the US government potentially take a stake in the beleaguered chipmaker, according to people familiar with the plan, in the latest sign of the White House’s willingness to blur the lines between state and industry. The deal would help shore up Intel’s planned factory hub in Ohio, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the deliberations are private. The company had once promised to turn that site into the world’s largest chipmaking facility, though it’s been repeatedly delayed. The size of the potential stake isn’t clear. The plans stem from a meeting this week between President Donald Trump and Intel Chief Executive Officer Lip-Bu Tan, the people said. While the details are still being sorted, the idea is for the US government to pay for the stake, one of the people said. Another cautioned that the plans remain fluid. Shares of Intel climbed as much as 8.9% on Thursday. For instant reaction and analysis, Bloomberg Businessweek Daily hosts Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jim Bianco & Scott Ladner. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research - Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies - David Malpass, former President at The World Bank - Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research, discusses the equity bull case amid clarity on tariff policy and the potential for rate cuts. Norman Roule, Senior Adviser at Center for Strategic & International Studies, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. David Malpass, former President at The World Bank, discusses political and economic priorities for the second Trump administration with just over a year to go until the 2026 Midterms. Nela Richardson, Chief Economist at ADP, reacts to jobless claims and PPI and talks about the health of the US labor market. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 14th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Jim Bianco, founder at Bianco Research, joins for an extended discussion on the Fed and rate cuts, as he calls for the Fed to hold and believes an easing cycle would mark a serious policy error. US short-dated bonds yields are near their lowest level in more than three months, reflecting conviction among traders that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month. 2) Dean Curnutt, CEO and founder at Macro Risk Advisors, joins to talk about the "GOAT Portfolio" and the volatility outlook as the Fed looks like it could soon ease monetary policy. Henry Allen, macro strategist for Deutsche Bank AG, said that "suddenly a 25 basis point rate cut seems fairly modest and achievable" in contrast to the large moves called for by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and President Donald Trump. 3) Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, talks the resilience in equities and the pain trade as we get jobless claims and PPI. 4) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, joins for an extended look at geopolitical risks ahead of the Trump-Putin summit and how it will ripple through markets. President Trump warned he would impose "very severe consequences" if Vladimir Putin didn't agree to a ceasefire agreement. Trump said he hoped to use his meeting with Putin to set up a "quick second meeting" with Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy, and that he would "rate" the call with European leaders "a 10." Trump assured leaders that he wouldn't negotiate territories with Putin and would push the Russian leader to meet with Zelenskiy, according to multiple people briefed on the discussions. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on Walmart's newest employee benefit and the Financial Times' sotry on Italy expanding in the pet service industry. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with David Seif & Jens Nordvig. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary - Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab - Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities - Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary, joins to discuss tariffs, US economic data, the Fed, and the economic priorities of the second Trump administration. Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, talks about the sustainability of the equity rally as tariffs take hold. Jeannette Lowe, Director: Policy Research at Strategas Securities, talks about the latest developments in President Trump's economic and political priorities. Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income, talks about recent eco data and the outlook for the US economy. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 13th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Jens Nordvig, founder & CEO at Exante Data, joins for an extended discussion about FX opportunities and President Trump's strategy to weaken the dollar. 2) David Seif, Chief Economist for Developed Markets at Nomura, joins to discuss recent eco data and why September may mark the beginning of a Fed easing cycle. Equity markets are swept up in a risk-on rally as a modest rise in US goods prices has tempered fears over the impact of tariffs, bolstering bets that the Fed will resume rate cuts. 3) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, joins to discuss his S&P target and why he remains extra bullish in the second half of 2025. A rally in global stocks persisted as expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts stoked risk-on sentiment and drove bond yields lower. 4) Stephanie Baker, Senior Writer with Bloomberg News, previews the Trump-Putin Summit. Vladimir Putin is heading to a summit with President Trump confident that Russia is in a dominant position on the battlefield as his military advances in Ukraine. Putin has repeatedly rejected calls for a ceasefire and is likely to seek major territorial concessions in return for one, according to the article. 5) Brent Schutte, Chief Investment Strategist at Northwestern Mutual, brings us into the market open and talks about a potential equity boon from rate cuts. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Rebecca Patterson & Ira Jersey. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management - Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO - Jon Lieber, Head: Research at Eurasia Group - Elizabeth Economy, Hargrove Senior Fellow and professor at Stanford University David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management and Tiffany Wilding, Economist: North America at PIMCO react to CPI and discuss thee outlook for inflation and rate cuts in the US. Jon Lieber, Head: Research at Eurasia Group, talks about President Trump's tariffs and economic and political priorities in a second Trump administrating. Elizabeth Economy, Hargrove Senior Fellow and professor at Stanford University, discusses the latest developments in US-China relations See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 12th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU and Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater, react to CPI and discusses weakening US labor data, as well as President Trump naming EJ Antoni the new BLS chief. Despite economists concerned about the potential for rising inflation, Wall Street firms, including JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley, expect investors to focus on strong corporate earnings and interest-rate cuts, according to Andrew Tyler and Mike Wilson. 2) Ethan Harris, former Head of Global Economic Research at Bank of America, talks about CPI and the reliability of American economic data with a new BLS chief. President Trump wrote that Antoni will ensure that the numbers released are "HONEST and ACCURATE", and Steve Bannon called Antoni "the perfect guy at the perfect time to run the BLS." Erica Groshen said that what worries her is that the nominee and his work are not well known in the business, academic or public service communities, and Jason Furman said that Antoni is "completely unqualified" to lead BLS. 3) Kira Rudik, Member of Parliament for the Ukrainian government, on the war in Ukraine, President Trump's summit with Vladimir Putin in Alaska this Friday, and the scheduled call between President Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskiy and other European leaders on Wednesday. President Trump is downplaying expectations for his upcoming meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin, calling it a "feel-out meeting." 4) Huw van Steenis, Partner at Oliver Wyman, discusses private credit outlook and the enablement of retirement savings to invest in private assets. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Wall Street Journal on salaries and Bloomberg's reporting on Taylor Swift's album announcement. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Angela Stent & Jonathan Hill. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Eric Rosengren, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston - Peter Oppenheimer, Chief Global Equity Strategist at Goldman Sachs - Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners - Ryan Petersen, Chairman and CEO of Flexport Eric Rosengren, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, joins to discuss recent eco data and outlook for the US labor market and potential for rate cuts. Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins to discuss the Trump administration's trade policy and how it will impact its broader economic agenda. Peter Oppenheimer, Chief Global Equity Strategist at Goldman Sachs, joins to discuss global inflation and the equity outlook in the US and abroad. Ryan Petersen, Chairman and CEO of Flexport, talks tariffs and how the US' reshaped trade policy impacts businesses. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 11th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Julian Emanuel, Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist at Evercore ISI, joins to talk about the AI rally and whether there will be more choppiness in equities to end 2025. Stocks erased gains as traders dialed back optimism that a summit between US President Trump and Russia’s Vladimir Putin would bring the war in Ukraine closer to a resolution. Traders are also awaiting US inflation data on Tuesday to gauge the impact of tariffs on prices. 2) Lauren Saidel-Baker, Economist at ITR Economics, previews tomorrow's CPI report and talks about a well-positioned consumer in spite of a weakening labor market. US consumers probably experienced a slight pickup in underlying inflation in July as retailers raised prices on items subject to higher import duties. Higher US tariffs have started to filter through to consumers in categories such as household furnishings and recreational goods, but a separate measure of core services inflation has so far remained tame. 3) Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute, previews the Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. Markets initially found some reassurance in renewed diplomatic efforts to end the war in Ukraine, with President Trump and Russian president Vladimir Putin set to meet in Alaska on Friday, even as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy continues to reject ceding land. However, optimism in markets began to dim. 4) Geoffrey Meacham, Global Head of Healthcare at Citi, discusses his price targets across health stocks and why he's signaling a rebound for Eli Lilly after last week's drop. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on noise cameras becoming the new frontier in automated traffic enforcement and a Bloomberg News piece on sports entering its streaming era. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with James Steel & Dan Tannebaum. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

- Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy at Bank of America - Bruce Hirsh, former Chief International Trade Counsel at the US Senate Finance Committee - John Vinh, Equity Research Analyst at Keybanc - Collin Martin, Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab Savita Subramanian, Head: US Equity & Quantitative Strategy at Bank of America, discusses the equity bull case and her S&P 500 target. Bruce Hirsh, former Chief International Trade Counsel at the US Senate Finance Committee, discusses the Trump administration's tariff strategy and outlook for US trade. John Vinh, Equity Research Analyst at Keybanc, talks about Intel after President Trump called on their CEO to resign. Collin Martin, Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, discusses how the bond market is pricing in recent economic data. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 8th, 2025 Featuring: 1) Ian Lyngen, Head of US Rates at BMO Capital Markets, talks about the 2-year and 10-year yield paths amid economic weakening and the outlook for rate cuts. A gauge of the dollar was was flat and Treasury yields were little changed after Thursday’s a weak sale of 30-year debt signaled waning appetite for US debt. 2) Larry McDonald, founder at the Bear Traps Report, joins to talk about how the bond market is pricing in recent tariff and economic policies out of the Trump admin and speculates how President Trump could reshape the Fed and its impact on markets. The S&P 500 is near a record high following a 30% surge from its April lows, supported by robust corporate earnings and hopes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to support the economy. 3) Dan Tannebaum, Partner and Global Anti-Financial Crime Practice Leader at Oliver Wyman, talks about the Trump admin's approach to the war in Ukraine and how global economies are managing US tariffs. President Trump said he’d be willing to meet with Vladimir Putin, even if Putin hadn’t yet agreed to also sit down with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. Trump told reporters he was “very disappointed” with Putin’s behavior and left open the possibility of additional penalties over the war in Ukraine as soon as Friday. 4) Stefanie Stantcheva, Economist at Harvard University, talks about how "zero-sum thinking" is reshaping economics and how a rearing back of inflation could further weigh on American consumers. 5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on doctors warning about "AI psychosis" and a Business Insider story on how TikTok users are booking hotels. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.